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Looking Back From 2057
Well, it’s been an exciting century for me, starting with the launch of the Russian satellite Sputnik in 1957 and the first space elevator on my 100th birthday in 2057. It was also a sad and depressing time, with various wars and conflicts, but in the end we all made it.
What’s really frustrating is that we could have done a lot of this years ago and saved ourselves so much grief, but we didn’t, partly because we didn’t know how, but mostly because of greed, self-interest, and an amazing lack of vision. .
We lost a lot, but we got a lot more in return. Gone are many huge corporations, outmaneuvered by many smaller, smarter ones, as predicted by “The Cluetrain Manifesto” and “Dingoes and Lions.”
Like many industries, the music industry had to die before it could be reborn. Let’s face it, any organization that sees its own customers as potential criminals is definitely out of business. At the time, music and movies were distributed on plastic discs (called CDs or DVDs) and billions were spent trying to prevent people from doing what they naturally did—sharing them.
Various methods were tried to prevent this, DRM (Digital Rights Management) being the most hated, partly because it prevented people from making copies (for use in other players), but mostly because it “locked out” competitors.
The result was:-
1. Most people ended up with an unplayable disc due to incompatible DRM systems or companies going out of business.
2. “Pirates” removed it from copy protection and made the tracks available on the original Internet.
3. People found it much easier to download from “pirates” than to buy a “legal” disc and run the risk of it being unplayable.
4. The music industry became more desperate and aggressive until they were sued by their top artists, who were tired of the negative publicity and found a much better way to distribute and promote their music – the Internet.
There was a brief flirtation with high-capacity discs such as “Blue Ray” and “HD DVD”, but audiences were so tired of paying huge sums of money for new, incompatible formats that they either stuck with the original DVD (Dual Layer 7, 5 GB) format, or I just downloaded everything from the Internet.
Today, it’s not only legal, it’s encouraged. You can transfer any music, video or literature to anyone or any device. Once 75% have been listened to or viewed, the author will automatically receive a one-time micropayment.
In fact, many artists released most of their work for free, knowing that if it was good enough, it would be copied a million times and become famous very quickly. Another benefit of giving away your work was that you could attach contact and performance information to each track, so every single time you had a gig/concert/etc, all your fans were automatically notified.
The film industry was also on the endangered list, but it saw what was coming in time. Still, it’s a fraction of the size of the original. Gone are the great actors and actresses (replaced by virtual actors), gone are the studios (replaced by virtual studios), and gone are the fixed “story lines”. At that time, a “movie” was just a fixed sequence of images played back very quickly, you couldn’t change the story line, change the characters, or look at each scene from a different perspective than you can now. The main driving force behind it all was the gaming industry, they had been doing this for years.
The way we watched things changed radically when huge, flexible video displays became cheap enough to be used as wallpaper. These were bright enough to replace lamps. Many people used one wall to watch shows and the other wall to display virtual, swimming fish as recreation (A bit like early screensavers).
The original Internet was described as a “disruptive technology” because it allowed the human race to communicate across the globe, much to the chagrin of the media, who preferred information to be artificially scarce and expensive.
Things got really interesting when Internet3 came online. This new network was a mix of the older Internet2 and NASA’s revamped Deep Space Network. Not only can it communicate with anyone or anything on Earth, but it can also reach people on the many orbiting space platforms, lunar bases, Mars bases, and any other planet in our solar system.
For a long time, electricity was exclusively produced by “power plants” from oil, gas, coal, nuclear fission (later Nuclear Fusion), solar and wind/wave turbines. As you can imagine, these were huge, dirty, expensive and inefficient.
Electricity was distributed to all parts of the country on cables strung between huge metal towers, so-called “poles”. It was transmitted at a very high voltage but stepped down to about 100-240V AC. Most buildings had some form of “mains” power connection with multiple outlets (or sockets) to which various appliances could be connected.
The main problem with this system was that power outages were frequent, and when they occurred, entire cities were plunged into darkness. Another problem was that alternating current is very difficult to store in any useful amount, so dealing with unexpected surges is expensive.
Nowadays, every building is energy self-sufficient and is equipped with solar tiles, mini wind generators and batteries. Most electronic equipment runs directly on batteries, which in turn are charged by the sun, wind, fuel cells, or any other available power source.
Today, the basic necessities of life are free, such as water, certain foods, and shelter. It was just another extension of the UK’s NHS (National Health Service), where treatment was free when needed but everyone paid. When this was first introduced, many people tried to live for free, but soon got bored of the water, the same boring food, and couldn’t go anywhere or do anything interesting. Another side effect was the removal of yet another huge layer of bureaucracy.
The other change was taxation. In the past, it took a lot of “tax inspectors” to collect taxes from everyone. Nowadays, it’s automatic, you get paid, your credit is updated, and the state gets a small percentage.
A significant change was the accountability of companies. The laws of the time gave the company the same rights as individuals. The problem was that many corporate characters are greedy, paranoid and psychopathic. It was the early internet that made publishing them much easier and faster. After some high-profile “meltdowns”, many “psychopath” corporations were treated the same as the individual.
The management of the companies has also changed a lot. In the bad old days, companies grew and grew until they collapsed under their own weight. Nowadays, things are more dynamic, some companies are formed to produce a one-off product and soon dissolve. Many behave like “cells”, dividing into separate entities when they reach a certain size. This kept them very lean and competitive, and most importantly – fun.
Nowadays, things are also much simpler. Go into the store. Look into a special mirror and see yourself in the selected clothes as if you were wearing them. Real-time 3D digitization and overlays. No need to measure, the 3D digitizer has recorded all the measurements and transmits them to the machine that will make your clothes.
Law and order
Crime, although still present, has decreased significantly. It all started in 2009, when a woman was burglarized, but she found the burglar by searching real-time satellite images of her house through an Internet satellite mapping service. It was simple to find a picture of his house when the burglar entered and track him back to his apartment half a mile away. He showed the pictures to the local police, who “fooled” him.
Another form of crime, so-called “shoplifting,” also disappeared when tiny tracking devices called “RFID” were embedded in all items for sale. To make a purchase, all you had to do was pick up the product at a store and walk out. As soon as you walked through the door of the store, your credit card was automatically charged with the price of the product. Anyone clever enough to do this with a “blank” credit card was tracked and managed by the RFID in the item.
Biometrics also played a role, as many things (like cars, computers) didn’t work with unauthorized people, so stealing them was pointless unless you could bypass the expensive biometric security system.
Micro-MR scanners are now making the job of the police much easier. Round up the suspects for questioning, and the scanner’s brain patterns will soon tell you who’s lying or not.
With an ever-growing population, people living longer, the only way was up. It started with things like the International Space Station, but when space travel became cheaper, they built huge multi-purpose space platforms. These originally housed engineers and scientists, but soon grew as new modules such as space telescopes, factories, hospitals and even hotels were added.
Today, space travel is routine. Many people go to space to visit their friends who live on space platforms or to go on tours. A few years ago I went up to see a spacecraft being assembled and launched to study some primitive life on Jupiter’s moon Europa. I saw two people recovering an old communication satellite. No one uses them anymore – space platforms also do this job. I also had a quick look at the telescope control room and spent the night at the hotel. It’s a strange experience moving from the outer ring, where most people live and work (normal gravity), beyond the middle ring, where the hospice/hospital/research areas, to the hub are most of the equipment (no gravity) .
Some choose to spend their last days (and their cash) in space, the cash has helped fund space development as well as some medical research. Many disabled people have also worked in space, you don’t need working legs (or a wheelchair) if you worked in zero G.
The long-awaited “Space Elevator” is almost operational. It took years to find a material that could stretch 62,000 miles and withstand continuous lightning strikes. Hundreds of companies are bidding to build the huge platforms, which are anchored at strategic locations along the length. An asteroid was fixed at the end. I heard they are going to put a centrifugal launch platform there as well.
For the first time, the human race was able to usefully control the weather. Space platforms continuously read global weather conditions. This data was fed to supercomputers, which in turn controlled huge space mirrors. If the current in the gulf began to slow down, just reflect some of the Sun’s energy back to that point to help the evaporation process. When a hurricane formed near the US coast, the computers tilted the mirrors to subtly heat the surrounding areas and disrupt the hurricane formation process. By subtly heating and cooling some strategic locations, rain could be encouraged in useful locations in autumn. Vast areas of desert have been converted into habitats using this method.
Reference and inspiration
“The Cluetrain Manifesto: The End of Business as Usual” by Locke, Weinberger, Searls, and Levine
“Dingos and Lions” by David Chan.
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